Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 74.185078 83.442920 92.931097 103.350678 114.440555 125.861860 138.484167
2025-03-16 59.276586 72.430260 86.540920 102.675047 120.488636 139.441804 161.019783
2025-03-23 51.484313 66.918747 84.033739 104.156453 126.919605 151.646456 180.317543
2025-03-30 45.832010 62.952805 82.495034 106.016836 133.156393 163.125888 198.371944
2025-04-06 39.908853 57.972750 79.192102 105.313537 136.013285 170.425751 211.412800
2025-04-13 34.088627 52.528032 74.839488 102.927912 136.534892 174.745358 220.796404
2025-04-20 31.962925 51.469378 75.588831 106.440582 143.814701 186.721958 238.845251
2025-04-27 29.518767 49.755239 75.336355 108.579982 149.342458 196.577921 254.393537
2025-05-04 26.189814 46.570494 72.996596 107.952246 151.387504 202.229884 264.963924
2025-05-11 23.105852 43.449190 70.521459 106.968478 152.847243 207.071535 274.491825
2025-05-18 21.012831 41.545447 69.501118 107.709316 156.331002 214.259189 286.737386
2025-05-25 18.701000 39.116934 67.621708 107.215547 158.181165 219.409725 296.513176
2025-06-01 16.920692 37.366905 66.599534 107.812444 161.413975 226.289348 308.452308
2025-06-08 14.754837 34.812663 64.312633 106.625339 162.309540 230.270863 316.890601
2025-06-15 13.616568 33.808849 64.146953 108.216436 166.708648 238.524398 330.469733
2025-06-22 12.662358 33.022172 64.234615 110.108089 171.469473 247.215343 344.585076
2025-06-29 11.119109 31.058754 62.481148 109.390405 172.781340 251.583720 353.412883
2025-07-06 9.327670 28.430762 59.576260 106.949343 171.739269 252.939015 358.497827
2025-07-13 9.053201 28.620755 60.970243 110.543108 178.662267 264.305860 375.900838
2025-07-20 8.496415 28.204434 61.387542 112.731341 183.712298 273.315778 390.415806
2025-07-27 7.416202 26.612973 59.869551 112.089316 184.940946 277.462218 398.905622
2025-08-03 6.376905 24.957130 58.151209 111.083086 185.624887 280.877929 406.463442
2025-08-10 5.740857 24.089764 57.666853 111.840847 188.670446 287.297197 417.757495